Bitcoin Pricing Bands Hints Potential Target At $117,000

17 May 2025

in Bitcoin

Reading Time: 3 mins read

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Prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez has identified the immediate important Bitcoin (BTC) price levels using the MVRV extreme deviation pricing bands model. Notably, the premier cryptocurrency has remained in consolidation between $101,000 – $104,000 for most of the week despite news of a 90-day tariff pause between the US and China.

Pricing Bands: Next Resistance At $116,900, Support At $98,131

The Bitcoin MVRV extreme deviation bands are statistical bands based on standard deviations of the MVRV ratio from its historical mean. They help identify extreme overvaluation and undervaluation in the Bitcoin market, and thus are useful tools in pointing out resistance and support levels.

According to the chart presented by Ali Martinez on May 16, Bitcoin’s next major resistance lies at $116,901, which aligns with the +1σ (standard deviation) MVRV band. A price break above this level would signify a risky overvaluation of BTC’s price and an overheated market, hinting at much potential for profit taking.

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On the other hand, the premier cryptocurrency’s immediate support is around $98,131, represented by the 0.5σ MVRV band. A sustained price action above this level would indicate that Bitcoin remains in a bullish valuation zone. On the other hand, a price break below this level would suggest cooling momentum or open the door to deeper retracements.

Meanwhile, the mean MVRV band stands at $79,361 and serves as a fair value anchor. If BTC prices fall to this level, it would present the ideal accumulation opportunity for a potential market rebound. However, price falls to lower MVRV bands at -0.5σ ($60,590) and -1σ ($41,820) would indicate bearish retracements and cycle bottoms, respectively.

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Bitcoin Holders Sit On 120% Unrealized Gains

In other news, Martinez’s MVRV pricing bands chart also shows that Bitcoin’s realized price currently stands at $45,504. With the current market price, this data suggests that the average BTC investor is sitting on significant unrealized gains potential as high as 120%.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $103,529 following a 0.87% decline in the last 24 hours and 0.10% in the past week amidst the ongoing market consolidation. However, the premier cryptocurrency is up by 22.62% in the past week as bullish forces remain dominant.

Presently, Bitcoin’s next resistance lies at the $105,000, a convincing price close above which could spur a further rise to the current all-time high around $109,000. If BTC successfully breaks through both resistance levels, it would enter price discovery territory, potentially accelerating gains toward the projected target around $117,000.

Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview

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