Ethereum To Outperform Bitcoin: Buy Before Mid-August, Analyst Warns

A crypto market expert has predicted that Ethereum (ETH), the largest altcoin, is about to flip the script on Bitcoin (BTC), the number one cryptocurrency. According to the forecast, ETH could significantly outperform BTC in this bull cycle—but the opportunity won’t last long. The analyst warns that the key window to buy in is before mid-August, when Ethereum could start showing real strength in the market. 

Ethereum To Overtake Bitcoin By Mid-August 

Experienced crypto analyst Polaris_xbt presented a macro analysis of the ETH/BTC chart on a recent X (formerly Twitter) post, suggesting that Ethereum is on the verge of a major reversal that could see it overtake Bitcoin once again. 

Drawing from historical price cycles and on-chain volume patterns, the expert highlights that Ethereum tends to lag behind Bitcoin in performance following a market bottom, but eventually catches up with explosive upside. This pattern has repeated in past cycles, with Ethereum beginning to outperform Bitcoin two months after its 2017 bottom and four months after the 2019 low. 

The current ETH/BTC cycle shows a much slower and extended downtrend that has lasted several years, culminating in a Rounded Bottom formation. Based on the analyst’s chart, Ethereum appears to have established a macro low at a key support zone between 0.01789 and 0.02326 BTC, following a 120-day consolidation period. This mirrors the 125-day lag observed in 2019 before the ETH/BTC breakout began.

Polaris_xbt has identified August 17, 2025, as the end of a key speculative window, indicating that this cycle is similarly delayed, and an altcoin outperformance, led by Ethereum, is likely to begin shortly afterward. The analyst chart points to a macro control level at 0.03116 BTC as a critical region, with higher resistance zones mapped out at 0.05372 and 0.08148. These areas represent potential upside targets if Ethereum resumes its historical trend of outpacing Bitcoin during the latter stages of each market cycle.

With the chart structure showing a break from the long-term downtrend, the setup strongly supports an accumulation at current levels. Polaris_xbt warns that the next five weeks represent a rare opportunity to buy ETH at a significant discount ahead of the projected shift in market dynamics. 

ETH-BTC Reversal Timing Sparks Debate

Polaris_xbt’s optimistic ETH/BTC forecast has sparked debate within the crypto community, with some analysts questioning whether the pair’s momentum will shift this year at all. One community member suggested the bullish conditions of the ETH/BTC ratio might not play out completely until 2026–an outlook that appears to contradict the cycle structure observed since the inception of the crypto market. 

In response, Polaris_xbt acknowledged the uncertainty but maintained confidence in a mid-2025 recovery. He expects a potential Double Bottom pattern to form during the summer months, after which the ETH/BTC pair could begin a steady upward trajectory. The analyst added that the key milestone remains the mid-range level around 0.03116 on the chart, which acts as both a macro resistance and psychological pivot point.

Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.